As job growth decelerates, it is not yet flashing red recession warnings, at least among hiring managers. That said, there are some yellow flashers that indicate an employment slowdown lies ahead.
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The December jobs report, as weird as it was, paints a picture of an economy that continues to create jobs and pay workers more.
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The labor market bounced back in October with the economy adding 531,000 new positions, the upper end of the range of estimates, and revisions to the two previous months added an additional 235,000 than previously reported.
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While the labor market is improving, the facts beg the question: With millions out of work, is there a labor shortage?
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Have April showers dampened the U.S. economic recovery? In a word, no.
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As perverse as it may seem, markets can indeed rise amid a sobering week for the nation.
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Investors cheered the likely outcome of a Biden presidency, a Republican-controlled Senate and a Democratic controller House, believing that gridlock would amount to a win for corporate America.
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Despite two strong months of job gains in May and June, the uptick in cases in the South and West prompted municipalities to tighten rules; caused consumers and businesses to slow down their efforts to return to pre-pandemic behavior; and slowed down job growth in July.
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Apocalyptic, a natural catastrophe, a generation-defining moment are just some of the words or terms that describe the economy and the labor market right now. The news could get a lot worse in the coming months.
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