trade war

Inside the Fed’s Head

Inside the Fed’s Head

Amid renewed Presidential criticism and evidence of a slowing economy, Fed officials will convene a two-day policy meeting this week and the pressure is on. As always, central bankers have to balance maintaining a strong enough economy to foster job growth, but it can’t run too hot, which might trigger inflation. Right now, there’s a battle brewing inside the collective Fed’s Head between action and inaction.

Trump Picks Fight with Mexico

Trump Picks Fight with Mexico

On Thursday night, President Trump reignited the trade conflict with Mexico. You may be thinking, “Wait, didn’t he repeal the steel and aluminum tariffs two weeks ago, and didn’t the White House just submit to Congress the revised NAFTA deal, now known as the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, or USMCA?

CBS This Morning: Apple Anxiety

Apple stunned investors with a rare warning that revenue from its first quarter will not meet expectations. In part the company blames slower iPhone sales in China. CEO Tim Cook says a weaker Chinese economy and trade tensions with the U.S. are hurting Apple. What it means for the global economy. I discussed on CBS This Morning.

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CBS Evening News: Stocks Tumble

On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by almost 800 points and shares of tech giants fared even worse. It was a reversal from the market's gains Monday, when Wall Street celebrated news of a truce in the U.S.-China trade fight. I discussed on the CBS Evening News with Jeff Glor.

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Stock Investors Brush Off Tariffs

Stock Investors Brush Off Tariffs

After the Trump Administration announced that it would impose 10 percent tariffs on another $200 billion worth of Chinese goods, starting Monday September 24 – and then the Chinese said they would retaliate with 5-10 percent tariffs on $60 billion of U.S. goods, the stock market rallied…and then kept on going up, throughout the week. The proximate rationale for the bump was that tariff levels were lower than expected and on the U.S. side, excluded a number of consumer-friendly goods, like iPhones, smart watches and sneakers.

Trade Wars? Here's What You Should Be Doing

Should you incorporate big picture, economic trends into your investment strategy? Or should you adhere to a “set it and forget” mindset?

The answer depends on your time horizon, according to our guest, Justin Nielsen, the Market Research Director at Investors Business Daily. You may recall that Justin was on the show last month with his colleague, Chris Gessel, discussing passive versus active investing, but today we have him to ourselves.

Whether it’s a trade war, inflation, tax policy or interest rates that moves markets, Justin says that if you are a long-term investor, any distinct event “is a blip." How much of a blip? Well check out this neat chart that he provided:

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You can see that going back more than a century, there are long, 15 to 20 year cycles. Whether it's the Roaring 20s, Post World War II, 80s and 90s Dot com run-up, there are always times of down or sideways action…it’s just part of the longer cycle. That means that as uncertain and scary events occur, you need to remind yourself, that they are simply part of being an investor.

And for you geeks out there, we even talk about the YIELD CURVE, which is just a way to compare short-term interest rates (the federal-funds rate) and long-term interest rates (the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond). It also happens to be one of those weird market indicators that can presage recessions and stock bear markets.

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CBS Evening News: How New Tariffs Could Hurt Consumers

The Trump administration is preparing tariffs on another $200 billion in Chinese imports. The latest round could impact the price of everything from seafood to shampoo. I explain what that means for consumers on the CBS Evening News.

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New $200B Trump Tariffs: Stay Cool with Your Investments

New $200B Trump Tariffs: Stay Cool with Your Investments

Many parts of the country recently experienced a heat wave and with extreme temperatures, come the usual warnings: keep your pets indoors, don’t overdo physical activity and hydrate often. It just so happens, that the heat wave coincided with the implementation of U.S. and Chinese tariffs, which prompted some tea-leaf readers to come to a boil on the markets and exclaim “SELL EVERYTHING!” Before you take any action that would pre-empt your game plan, here’s a handy summertime hint: stay cool with your investments!